RB Leipzig vs Mainz 05 Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
RB Leipzig v Mainz 05 — Team-Based Signals
RB Leipzig vs Mainz 05 Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 0-0
RB Leipzig
AL1
0-3
HT 0-1
Mainz 05
AL1
1-1
HT 1-0
RB Leipzig
AL1
4-1
HT 1-0
Mainz 05
AL1
1-0
HT 1-0
RB Leipzig
AL1
3-2
HT 2-2
RB Leipzig
AL1
RB Leipzig 0-0 Mainz 05 — Actual Match Statistics
RB Leipzig and Mainz 05 played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had RB Leipzig at 62% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, RB Leipzig had 67% of the ball to Mainz 05's 33%, shots finished 20-8, expected goals 2.75 to 0.92.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mainz 05 led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for RB Leipzig and 1.83 for Mainz 05.
What was the final score of RB Leipzig vs Mainz 05?
RB Leipzig 0-0 Mainz 05 in the Germany - Bundesliga on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for RB Leipzig vs Mainz 05?
Before kick-off our model rated a RB Leipzig win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split RB Leipzig 62%, draw 21%, Mainz 05 17%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.