Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Hoffenheim v Bayer Leverkusen — Team-Based Signals
Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-3
HT 0-2
Bayer Leverkusen
AL1
1-3
HT 0-1
Bayer Leverkusen
AL1
0-3
HT 0-2
Hoffenheim
AL1
2-4
HT 2-1
Bayer Leverkusen
AL1
2-2
HT 1-0
Hoffenheim
AL1
Hoffenheim 1-4 Bayer Leverkusen — Actual Match Statistics
Bayer Leverkusen cruised past Hoffenheim 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bayer Leverkusen as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (55%) came in.
On the day, Hoffenheim had 40% of the ball to Bayer Leverkusen's 60%, shots finished 15-20, expected goals 0.92 to 3.56.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bayer Leverkusen led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Hoffenheim and 2.33 for Bayer Leverkusen.
What was the final score of Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen?
Hoffenheim 1-4 Bayer Leverkusen in the Germany - Bundesliga on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen?
Before kick-off our model rated an Bayer Leverkusen win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Hoffenheim 22%, draw 21%, Bayer Leverkusen 57%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayer Leverkusen), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.