Freiburg vs Bochum Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Freiburg v Bochum — Team-Based Signals
Freiburg vs Bochum Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-1
Bochum
AL1
0-2
HT 0-1
Freiburg
AL1
1-0
HT 0-0
Bochum
AL1
3-0
HT 2-0
Bochum
AL1
1-2
HT 0-0
Freiburg
AFK
Freiburg 2-1 Bochum — Actual Match Statistics
Freiburg squeezed past Bochum 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Freiburg as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (55%) came in.
On the day, Freiburg had 54% of the ball to Bochum's 46%, shots finished 26-13, expected goals 3.88 to 0.92 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Freiburg's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Freiburg had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Freiburg and 0.50 for Bochum.
What was the final score of Freiburg vs Bochum?
Freiburg 2-1 Bochum in the Germany - Bundesliga on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Freiburg vs Bochum?
Before kick-off our model rated a Freiburg win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Freiburg 54%, draw 24%, Bochum 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Freiburg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.