Mönchengladbach 1-3 Stuttgart — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 14 Sep 2024

Mönchengladbach
1-3 HT 1-1
Stuttgart
📅14/09/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Germany - Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Mönchengladbach vs Stuttgart Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.46
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
40%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.51
Over 2.5
55%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.41
No
42%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
5.69
2-3 Goals
36%
2.03
4-5 Goals
26%
2.62
6+ Goals
13%
6.16
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
3.54
1/2
7%
23.15
1/X
7%
12.3
X/1
15%
6.19
X/2
13%
5.81
X/X
12%
5.86
2/1
9%
24.45
2/2
20%
3.25
2/X
6%
12.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
37%
-2.4pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.0pp
40%
Away Win
39%
+1.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
36%
+8.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
64%
-8.9pp
58%
BTTS Yes
67%
-9.0pp
42%
BTTS No
33%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mönchengladbach v Stuttgart — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mönchengladbach EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Stuttgart EU Bookmakers 43%
+2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +14%
1.36/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/1.09
-5% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +12%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
332 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 80%
24.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.7
16.3 Crosses 16.3
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0

Mönchengladbach vs Stuttgart Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mönchengladbach
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Stuttgart
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.50 xG 1.45
47% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
413 Passes 485
82% Pass Accuracy 85%
20 Box Touches 26
12 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
18.05.2024 Stuttgart Stuttgart 4-0 HT 2-0 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach AL1
14.01.2024 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach 3-1 HT 2-0 Stuttgart Stuttgart AL1
29.04.2023 Stuttgart Stuttgart 2-1 HT 1-0 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach AL1
04.11.2022 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach 3-1 HT 2-1 Stuttgart Stuttgart AL1
05.03.2022 Stuttgart Stuttgart 3-2 HT 1-2 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach AL1
16.10.2021 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach 1-1 HT 1-1 Stuttgart Stuttgart AL1

Mönchengladbach 1-3 Stuttgart — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mönchengladbach
1-3
AWAY Stuttgart
1.65 xG 2.20
44% Ball Possession 56%
15 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 2
326 Passes 453
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
20 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mönchengladbach vs Stuttgart
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stuttgart got the better of Mönchengladbach 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 26% / 40%) promised a tight game; Stuttgart found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Mönchengladbach had 44% of the ball to Stuttgart's 56%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 1.65 to 2.20.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stuttgart led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Mönchengladbach and 2.00 for Stuttgart.

What was the final score of Mönchengladbach vs Stuttgart?

Mönchengladbach 1-3 Stuttgart in the Germany - Bundesliga on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mönchengladbach vs Stuttgart?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stuttgart win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Mönchengladbach 34%, draw 26%, Stuttgart 40%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stuttgart), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Stuttgart) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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