Wolfsburg 1-2 Eintracht Frankfurt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 14 Sep 2024

Wolfsburg
1-2 HT 0-1
Eintracht Frankfurt
📅14/09/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Germany - Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Wolfsburg vs Eintracht Frankfurt Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.53
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
30%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.95
Over 2.5
51%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.57
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.36
6+ Goals
11%
12.35
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.36 — our 25% vs market 24.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.84
1/2
6%
27.0
1/X
5%
13.1
X/1
16%
5.75
X/2
10%
5.37
X/X
14%
4.82
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
14%
3.48
2/X
8%
13.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
36%
+8.1pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.2pp
30%
Away Win
38%
-7.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.2pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Wolfsburg v Eintracht Frankfurt — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wolfsburg EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Eintracht Frankfurt EU Bookmakers 42%
+8% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -11%
1.69/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.28
+16% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -9%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
308 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 406 · 79%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.2
18.1 Crosses 17.4
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2

Wolfsburg vs Eintracht Frankfurt Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wolfsburg
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Eintracht Frankfurt
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.66 xG 0.82
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
317 Passes 358
74% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
25.02.2024 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 2-2 HT 1-2 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg AL1
30.09.2023 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg 2-0 HT 1-0 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt AL1
05.03.2023 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg 2-2 HT 2-2 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt AL1
10.09.2022 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 0-1 HT 0-0 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg AL1
12.02.2022 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 0-2 HT 0-1 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg AL1
19.09.2021 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg 1-1 HT 0-1 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt AL1

Wolfsburg 1-2 Eintracht Frankfurt — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wolfsburg
1-2
AWAY Eintracht Frankfurt
1.58 xG 2.53
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
407 Passes 271
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
27 Box Touches 25
28 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Wolfsburg vs Eintracht Frankfurt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eintracht Frankfurt squeezed past Wolfsburg 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Wolfsburg at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Wolfsburg had 60% of the ball to Eintracht Frankfurt's 40%, shots finished 18-14, expected goals 1.58 to 2.53.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wolfsburg had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Wolfsburg and 0.83 for Eintracht Frankfurt.

What was the final score of Wolfsburg vs Eintracht Frankfurt?

Wolfsburg 1-2 Eintracht Frankfurt in the Germany - Bundesliga on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wolfsburg vs Eintracht Frankfurt?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wolfsburg win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Wolfsburg 44%, draw 26%, Eintracht Frankfurt 30%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Wolfsburg) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Wolfsburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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