Holstein Kiel 1-6 Bayern Münih — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
7.78
Draw
20%
5.71
Away
59%
1.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
3.17
Over 2.5
65%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
8.44
2-3 Goals
35%
2.36
4-5 Goals
29%
2.37
6+ Goals
18%
4.01
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
15.85
1/2
5%
19.0
1/X
7%
23.6
X/1
6%
24.0
X/2
16%
3.71
X/X
8%
11.1
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
38%
1.36
2/X
6%
24.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
10%
+10.9pp
20%
Draw
14%
+5.7pp
59%
Away Win
76%
-16.6pp
34%
Under 2.5
28%
+6.3pp
66%
Over 2.5
72%
-6.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.5pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Holstein Kiel EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayern Münih EU Bookmakers 80%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -14%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -25%
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
278 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 491 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 38.0
Crosses 20.0
Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Holstein Kiel
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Bayern Münih
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.93 xG 2.24
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 23
3 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 15
445 Passes 734
80% Pass Accuracy 86%
13 Box Touches 50
18 Crosses 39
1 Yellow Cards 1
13.01.2021 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 2-2 HT 1-1 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih AFK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Holstein Kiel
1-6
AWAY Bayern Münih
0.32 xG 3.26
29% Ball Possession 71%
5 Total Shots 23
1 Shots on Target 12
2 Corners 10
244 Passes 736
77% Pass Accuracy 92%
9 Box Touches 45
13 Crosses 20
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Holstein Kiel vs Bayern Münih
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayern Münih ran out comfortable winners over Holstein Kiel 6-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-4. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Bayern Münih as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (66%) came in.

On the day, Holstein Kiel had 29% of the ball to Bayern Münih's 71%, shots finished 5-23, expected goals 0.32 to 3.26.

What was the final score of Holstein Kiel vs Bayern Münih?

Holstein Kiel 1-6 Bayern Münih in the Germany - Bundesliga on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Holstein Kiel vs Bayern Münih?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bayern Münih win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Holstein Kiel 21%, draw 20%, Bayern Münih 59%. The final score 1-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayern Münih), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bayern Münih) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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