Eintracht Frankfurt 2-2 Wolfsburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 25 Feb 2024

Eintracht Frankfurt
2-2 HT 1-2
Wolfsburg
📅25/02/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Germany - Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Eintracht Frankfurt vs Wolfsburg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.27
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
32%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.3
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.58
6+ Goals
9%
14.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.3 — our 30% vs market 24.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.4
1/2
5%
31.0
1/X
7%
12.85
X/1
15%
5.21
X/2
10%
5.97
X/X
11%
4.53
2/1
9%
27.5
2/2
17%
4.11
2/X
8%
13.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
40%
+1.6pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.8pp
32%
Away Win
33%
-0.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+2.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-2.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-6.1pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Eintracht Frankfurt v Wolfsburg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eintracht Frankfurt EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Wolfsburg EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -17%
1.58/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.39
-6% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -14%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
318 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 77%
28.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.3
22.5 Crosses 19.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1

Eintracht Frankfurt vs Wolfsburg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eintracht Frankfurt
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Wolfsburg
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.82 xG 1.69
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
330 Passes 322
74% Pass Accuracy 75%
23 Box Touches 24
19 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
30.09.2023 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg 2-0 HT 1-0 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt AL1
05.03.2023 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg 2-2 HT 2-2 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt AL1
10.09.2022 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 0-1 HT 0-0 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg AL1
12.02.2022 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 0-2 HT 0-1 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg AL1
19.09.2021 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg 1-1 HT 0-1 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt AL1
10.04.2021 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 4-3 HT 2-1 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg AL1

Eintracht Frankfurt 2-2 Wolfsburg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eintracht Frankfurt
2-2
AWAY Wolfsburg
0.92 xG 1.02
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 3
409 Passes 284
78% Pass Accuracy 71%
28 Box Touches 19
23 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Eintracht Frankfurt vs Wolfsburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eintracht Frankfurt and Wolfsburg shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Eintracht Frankfurt at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Eintracht Frankfurt had 56% of the ball to Wolfsburg's 44%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 0.92 to 1.02.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wolfsburg led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Eintracht Frankfurt and 1.83 for Wolfsburg.

What was the final score of Eintracht Frankfurt vs Wolfsburg?

Eintracht Frankfurt 2-2 Wolfsburg in the Germany - Bundesliga on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eintracht Frankfurt vs Wolfsburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eintracht Frankfurt win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Eintracht Frankfurt 42%, draw 26%, Wolfsburg 32%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Eintracht Frankfurt) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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