Augsburg vs Freiburg Prediction — Model Probabilities
Augsburg v Freiburg — Team-Based Signals
Augsburg vs Freiburg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Augsburg 2-1 Freiburg — Actual Match Statistics
Augsburg squeezed past Freiburg 2-1. The 0-1 half-time score told a different story — this one turned on its head late.
As we said in the preview, our model had Augsburg as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (58%), and that read landed as well.
By the numbers, possession split 63% to 37% in Augsburg's favour, shots finished 19-5, expected goals 1.65 to 1.61.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Freiburg led the recent series with 6 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.33 a game for Augsburg against 2.67 for Freiburg.
Augsburg vs Freiburg Result & Final Score
Augsburg 2 - 1 Freiburg in the Germany - Bundesliga on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Augsburg vs Freiburg Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Augsburg win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Augsburg 41%, draw 27%, Freiburg 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Augsburg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.