Stuttgart 4-0 Mönchengladbach — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 18 May 2024

Stuttgart
4-0 HT 2-0
Mönchengladbach
📅18/05/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Germany - Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Stuttgart vs Mönchengladbach Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.28
Draw
21%
5.71
Away
19%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
3.94
Over 2.5
61%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.56
No
49%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
10.35
2-3 Goals
37%
2.59
4-5 Goals
29%
2.32
6+ Goals
15%
3.36
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1.37
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
23.6
X/1
12%
3.86
X/2
6%
23.15
X/X
6%
11.8
2/1 EV+ ✗
12%
17.55
2/2
8%
14.35
2/X
8%
22.3
Value flag · 2/1 at 17.55 — our 12% vs market 2.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
74%
-14.0pp
21%
Draw
15%
+6.6pp
19%
Away Win
11%
+7.5pp
39%
Under 2.5
22%
+17.4pp
61%
Over 2.5
78%
-17.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.6pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Stuttgart v Mönchengladbach — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stuttgart EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Mönchengladbach EU Bookmakers 14%
-5% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +5%
2.24/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/2.37
-10% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -4%
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
518 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 76%
31.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.7
19.0 Crosses 11.7
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.2

Stuttgart vs Mönchengladbach Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stuttgart
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Mönchengladbach
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.28 xG 1.34
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
453 Passes 416
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
25 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
14.01.2024 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach 3-1 HT 2-0 Stuttgart Stuttgart AL1
29.04.2023 Stuttgart Stuttgart 2-1 HT 1-0 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach AL1
04.11.2022 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach 3-1 HT 2-1 Stuttgart Stuttgart AL1
05.03.2022 Stuttgart Stuttgart 3-2 HT 1-2 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach AL1
16.10.2021 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach 1-1 HT 1-1 Stuttgart Stuttgart AL1
15.05.2021 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach 1-2 HT 1-0 Stuttgart Stuttgart AL1

Stuttgart 4-0 Mönchengladbach — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stuttgart
4-0
AWAY Mönchengladbach
1.59 xG 1.41
60% Ball Possession 40%
21 Total Shots 14
11 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
659 Passes 415
93% Pass Accuracy 89%
33 Box Touches 26
13 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Stuttgart vs Mönchengladbach
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stuttgart cruised past Mönchengladbach 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Stuttgart as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Stuttgart had 60% of the ball to Mönchengladbach's 40%, shots finished 21-14, expected goals 1.59 to 1.41.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stuttgart had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Stuttgart and 1.83 for Mönchengladbach.

What was the final score of Stuttgart vs Mönchengladbach?

Stuttgart 4-0 Mönchengladbach in the Germany - Bundesliga on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stuttgart vs Mönchengladbach?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stuttgart win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Stuttgart 60%, draw 21%, Mönchengladbach 19%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stuttgart), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stuttgart) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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