Wolfsburg vs Mainz 05 Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Wolfsburg v Mainz 05 — Team-Based Signals
Wolfsburg vs Mainz 05 Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 3-0
Mainz 05
AL1
0-3
HT 0-1
Wolfsburg
AL1
5-0
HT 5-0
Mainz 05
AL1
3-0
HT 2-0
Wolfsburg
AL1
2-3
HT 0-1
Mainz 05
AL1
Wolfsburg 1-3 Mainz 05 — Actual Match Statistics
Mainz 05 saw off Wolfsburg 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (38% / 30% / 32%) promised a tight game; Mainz 05 found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Wolfsburg had 64% of the ball to Mainz 05's 36%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 0.76 to 1.80.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wolfsburg had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Wolfsburg and 1.17 for Mainz 05.
What was the final score of Wolfsburg vs Mainz 05?
Wolfsburg 1-3 Mainz 05 in the Germany - Bundesliga on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Wolfsburg vs Mainz 05?
Before kick-off our model rated a Wolfsburg win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Wolfsburg 38%, draw 30%, Mainz 05 32%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Wolfsburg), Under 2.5 went the other way.