Werder Bremen 4-1 Bochum — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 18 May 2024

Werder Bremen
4-1 HT 1-0
Bochum
📅18/05/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Germany - Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Werder Bremen vs Bochum Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.02
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.51
Over 2.5
55%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.43
No
42%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.61
2-3 Goals
41%
2.02
4-5 Goals
26%
2.63
6+ Goals
12%
6.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
2.79
1/2
6%
28.0
1/X
11%
12.2
X/1
16%
5.25
X/2
10%
7.13
X/X
15%
5.8
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
21.85
2/2
18%
4.26
2/X
4%
12.4
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.85 — our 8% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
45%
-8.9pp
30%
Draw
25%
+4.9pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+4.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
36%
+8.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
64%
-8.8pp
58%
BTTS Yes
66%
-7.8pp
42%
BTTS No
34%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Werder Bremen v Bochum — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Werder Bremen EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Bochum EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -2%
1.47/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.63
-1% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -3%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
349 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 76%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
19.2 Crosses 17.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5

Werder Bremen vs Bochum Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Werder Bremen
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Bochum
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.32 xG 0.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
308 Passes 250
72% Pass Accuracy 69%
23 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
14.01.2024 Bochum Bochum 1-1 HT 0-0 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen AL1
25.02.2023 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 3-0 HT 2-0 Bochum Bochum AL1
03.09.2022 Bochum Bochum 0-2 HT 0-0 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen AL1
20.03.2010 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 3-2 HT 0-1 Bochum Bochum AL1
25.10.2009 Bochum Bochum 1-4 HT 1-2 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen AL1
25.04.2009 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 3-2 HT 0-2 Bochum Bochum AL1

Werder Bremen 4-1 Bochum — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Werder Bremen
4-1
AWAY Bochum
3.02 xG 2.09
46% Ball Possession 54%
26 Total Shots 27
13 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 8
273 Passes 332
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
33 Box Touches 43
24 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Werder Bremen vs Bochum
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Werder Bremen cruised past Bochum 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (36% / 30% / 34%) promised a tight game; Werder Bremen found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Werder Bremen had 46% of the ball to Bochum's 54%, shots finished 26-27, expected goals 3.02 to 2.09.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Werder Bremen had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Werder Bremen and 1.00 for Bochum.

What was the final score of Werder Bremen vs Bochum?

Werder Bremen 4-1 Bochum in the Germany - Bundesliga on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Werder Bremen vs Bochum?

Before kick-off our model rated a Werder Bremen win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Werder Bremen 36%, draw 30%, Bochum 34%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Werder Bremen), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Werder Bremen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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