Eintracht Frankfurt 2-2 RB Leipzig — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 18 May 2024

Eintracht Frankfurt
2-2 HT 0-1
RB Leipzig
📅18/05/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✓ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Germany - Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Eintracht Frankfurt vs RB Leipzig Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.12
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
40%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.51
Over 2.5
65%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.41
No
37%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
5.75
2-3 Goals
36%
2.03
4-5 Goals
32%
2.62
6+ Goals
15%
6.07
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.93
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
26.0
1/X
6%
12.35
X/1
11%
5.42
X/2
13%
6.72
X/X
11%
5.92
2/1
7%
21.85
2/2
18%
3.94
2/X
6%
12.5
Value flag · 1/2 at 26.0 — our 9% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
43%
-6.2pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.4pp
40%
Away Win
33%
+6.6pp
35%
Under 2.5
36%
-1.2pp
65%
Over 2.5
64%
+1.2pp
63%
BTTS Yes
67%
-3.7pp
37%
BTTS No
33%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Eintracht Frankfurt v RB Leipzig — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eintracht Frankfurt EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY RB Leipzig EU Bookmakers 37%
-5% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -6%
1.51/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.31
-13% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -14%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
352 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 77%
28.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.4
25.7 Crosses 15.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3

Eintracht Frankfurt vs RB Leipzig Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eintracht Frankfurt
2W-2D-2L
AWAY RB Leipzig
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.07 xG 1.82
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
339 Passes 470
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 32
11 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
13.01.2024 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 0-1 HT 0-1 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt AL1
03.06.2023 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 2-0 HT 0-0 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt AFK
25.02.2023 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 2-1 HT 2-0 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt AL1
03.09.2022 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 4-0 HT 2-0 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig AL1
20.03.2022 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 0-0 HT 0-0 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt AL1
30.10.2021 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 1-1 HT 0-1 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig AL1

Eintracht Frankfurt 2-2 RB Leipzig — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eintracht Frankfurt
2-2
AWAY RB Leipzig
2.12 xG 1.63
47% Ball Possession 53%
22 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 3
334 Passes 417
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
31 Box Touches 20
25 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Eintracht Frankfurt vs RB Leipzig
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eintracht Frankfurt and RB Leipzig couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 24% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (63%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Eintracht Frankfurt had 47% of the ball to RB Leipzig's 53%, shots finished 22-9, expected goals 2.12 to 1.63.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Eintracht Frankfurt and 0.83 for RB Leipzig.

What was the final score of Eintracht Frankfurt vs RB Leipzig?

Eintracht Frankfurt 2-2 RB Leipzig in the Germany - Bundesliga on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eintracht Frankfurt vs RB Leipzig?

Before kick-off our model rated an RB Leipzig win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Eintracht Frankfurt 37%, draw 24%, RB Leipzig 40%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (RB Leipzig) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (RB Leipzig) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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