RB Leipzig 0-1 Eintracht Frankfurt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 13 Jan 2024

📅13/01/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.43
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
20%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.33
Over 2.5
60%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.75
No
44%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.89
2-3 Goals
35%
1.94
4-5 Goals
30%
2.8
6+ Goals
15%
7.58
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1.7
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
7%
17.75
X/1
17%
3.68
X/2
8%
13.95
X/X
9%
6.96
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
20.55
2/2
7%
10.25
2/X
7%
18.2
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.55 — our 7% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
66%
-8.2pp
23%
Draw
20%
+3.5pp
19%
Away Win
15%
+4.7pp
40%
Under 2.5
39%
+0.7pp
60%
Over 2.5
61%
-0.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.4pp
44%
BTTS No
47%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RB Leipzig EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Eintracht Frankfurt EU Bookmakers 18%
+1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
2.06/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.62
+12% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -2%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
408 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 74%
28.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
16.2 Crosses 14.2
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME RB Leipzig
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Eintracht Frankfurt
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.49 xG 1.07
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
442 Passes 334
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
28 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.06.2023 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 2-0 HT 0-0 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt AFK
25.02.2023 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 2-1 HT 2-0 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt AL1
03.09.2022 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 4-0 HT 2-0 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig AL1
20.03.2022 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 0-0 HT 0-0 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt AL1
30.10.2021 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 1-1 HT 0-1 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig AL1
14.03.2021 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 1-1 HT 0-0 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt AL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RB Leipzig
0-1
AWAY Eintracht Frankfurt
3.56 xG 1.09
63% Ball Possession 37%
31 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 1
15 Corners 4
545 Passes 294
86% Pass Accuracy 77%
50 Box Touches 14
39 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH RB Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eintracht Frankfurt squeezed past RB Leipzig 1-0 away from home.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had RB Leipzig at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, RB Leipzig had 63% of the ball to Eintracht Frankfurt's 37%, shots finished 31-5, expected goals 3.56 to 1.09 — the balance of chances actually favoured RB Leipzig.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, RB Leipzig had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for RB Leipzig and 1.17 for Eintracht Frankfurt.

What was the final score of RB Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt?

RB Leipzig 0-1 Eintracht Frankfurt in the Germany - Bundesliga on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RB Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt?

Before kick-off our model rated a RB Leipzig win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split RB Leipzig 57%, draw 23%, Eintracht Frankfurt 19%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (RB Leipzig) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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