Darmstadt 98 0-3 Borussia Dortmund — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 13 Jan 2024

Darmstadt 98
0-3 HT 0-1
Borussia Dortmund
📅13/01/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Germany - Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Darmstadt 98 vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.87
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
48%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.51
Over 2.5
58%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.53
No
43%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.7
2-3 Goals
39%
2.03
4-5 Goals
27%
2.63
6+ Goals
13%
6.21
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
6.61
1/2 EV+ ✗
13%
19.45
1/X
7%
14.6
X/1
10%
10.05
X/2
18%
4.24
X/X
8%
6.52
2/1
8%
34.0
2/2
17%
2.03
2/X
7%
14.3
Value flag · 1/2 at 19.45 — our 13% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
22%
+7.0pp
22%
Draw
22%
+0.1pp
48%
Away Win
55%
-7.2pp
42%
Under 2.5
36%
+6.0pp
58%
Over 2.5
64%
-6.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
61%
-4.4pp
43%
BTTS No
39%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Darmstadt 98 v Borussia Dortmund — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Darmstadt 98 EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Borussia Dortmund EU Bookmakers 60%
-7% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / +1%
1.10/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.84/1.13
-59% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -13%
37% Ball Possession 63%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
239 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 483 · 82%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.6
23.3 Crosses 15.9
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.3

Darmstadt 98 vs Borussia Dortmund Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Darmstadt 98
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Borussia Dortmund
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.75
27% Ball Possession 72%
7 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 9
158 Passes 588
62% Pass Accuracy 85%
25 Box Touches 26
12 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
11.02.2017 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 2-1 HT 1-1 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund AL1
17.09.2016 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 6-0 HT 1-0 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL1
02.03.2016 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 0-2 HT 0-1 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund AL1
27.09.2015 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 2-2 HT 0-1 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL1

Darmstadt 98 0-3 Borussia Dortmund — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Darmstadt 98
0-3
AWAY Borussia Dortmund
1.04 xG 3.14
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 4
349 Passes 414
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
12 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Darmstadt 98 vs Borussia Dortmund
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Borussia Dortmund cruised past Darmstadt 98 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Borussia Dortmund as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (58%) landed while both teams to score (57%) missed.

On the day, Darmstadt 98 had 48% of the ball to Borussia Dortmund's 52%, shots finished 11-17, expected goals 1.04 to 3.14.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Borussia Dortmund led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Darmstadt 98 and 2.75 for Borussia Dortmund.

What was the final score of Darmstadt 98 vs Borussia Dortmund?

Darmstadt 98 0-3 Borussia Dortmund in the Germany - Bundesliga on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Darmstadt 98 vs Borussia Dortmund?

Before kick-off our model rated an Borussia Dortmund win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Darmstadt 98 30%, draw 22%, Borussia Dortmund 48%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Borussia Dortmund), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Borussia Dortmund) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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