Augsburg vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction — Model Probabilities
Augsburg v Bayer Leverkusen — Team-Based Signals
Augsburg vs Bayer Leverkusen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Augsburg 0-1 Bayer Leverkusen — Actual Match Statistics
Bayer Leverkusen edged past Augsburg 1-0 on their travels. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bayer Leverkusen as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The one blemish: over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (56%) never looked like landing.
By the numbers, Augsburg had 24% of the ball to Bayer Leverkusen's 76%, shots finished 3-24, expected goals 0.43 to 1.97 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Bayer Leverkusen's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bayer Leverkusen led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Augsburg and 2.33 for Bayer Leverkusen.
Augsburg vs Bayer Leverkusen Result & Final Score
Augsburg 0 - 1 Bayer Leverkusen in the Germany - Bundesliga on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Augsburg vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Bayer Leverkusen win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Augsburg 17%, draw 19%, Bayer Leverkusen 64%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayer Leverkusen) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.