Freiburg vs Union Berlin Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Freiburg v Union Berlin — Team-Based Signals
Freiburg vs Union Berlin Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-2
HT 3-0
Freiburg
AL1
4-1
HT 4-0
Union Berlin
AL1
1-4
HT 0-3
Union Berlin
AL1
0-0
HT 0-0
Freiburg
AL1
0-1
HT 0-0
Union Berlin
AL1
1-1
HT 1-1
Freiburg
AL1
Freiburg 0-0 Union Berlin — Actual Match Statistics
Freiburg and Union Berlin played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.
Our pre-match lean was Freiburg at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Freiburg had 57% of the ball to Union Berlin's 43%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 1.79 to 0.46.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Berlin led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Freiburg and 1.83 for Union Berlin.
What was the final score of Freiburg vs Union Berlin?
Freiburg 0-0 Union Berlin in the Germany - Bundesliga on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Freiburg vs Union Berlin?
Before kick-off our model rated a Freiburg win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Freiburg 43%, draw 30%, Union Berlin 27%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.