Köln vs Heidenheim Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Köln v Heidenheim — Team-Based Signals
Köln vs Heidenheim Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-2
Köln
AL2
1-1
HT 0-1
Heidenheim
AL2
Köln 1-1 Heidenheim — Actual Match Statistics
Köln and Heidenheim shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Köln at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Köln had 51% of the ball to Heidenheim's 49%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 0.90 to 0.97.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Köln had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Köln and 0.50 for Heidenheim.
What was the final score of Köln vs Heidenheim?
Köln 1-1 Heidenheim in the Germany - Bundesliga on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Köln vs Heidenheim?
Before kick-off our model rated a Köln win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Köln 44%, draw 25%, Heidenheim 31%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.