Lanus 2-0 CA Sarmiento — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 2 Feb 2025

📅02/02/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.61
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
23%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.52
Over 2.5
37%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.44
No
57%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.17
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
5.04
6+ Goals
7%
31.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.08
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
17.35
X/1
19%
3.73
X/2
10%
11.35
X/X
14%
4.06
2/1
7%
31.5
2/2
8%
10.95
2/X
7%
20.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
58%
-11.0pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.9pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+7.1pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+1.3pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-1.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
37%
+5.6pp
57%
BTTS No
63%
-5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lanus EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY CA Sarmiento EU Bookmakers 19%
-9% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.58/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.34
-11% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +1%
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
407 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 194 · 65%
24.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.9
27.3 Crosses 16.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lanus
2W-3D-1L
AWAY CA Sarmiento
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.31 xG 0.96
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
346 Passes 204
78% Pass Accuracy 68%
20 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
31.08.2024 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento 0-0 HT 0-0 Lanus Lanus ARJ
14.02.2024 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento 0-1 HT 0-0 Lanus Lanus ARJ
19.09.2023 Lanus Lanus 0-0 HT 0-0 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento ARJ
22.04.2023 Lanus Lanus 2-1 HT 2-0 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento ARJ
06.08.2022 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento 2-1 HT 2-0 Lanus Lanus ARJ
04.09.2021 Lanus Lanus 1-1 HT 0-0 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lanus
2-0
AWAY CA Sarmiento
1.38 xG 0.71
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 6
379 Passes 368
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
27 Box Touches 15
9 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lanus vs CA Sarmiento
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lanus saw off CA Sarmiento 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Lanus as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Lanus had 49% of the ball to CA Sarmiento's 51%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 1.38 to 0.71.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lanus had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Lanus and 0.67 for CA Sarmiento.

What was the final score of Lanus vs CA Sarmiento?

Lanus 2-0 CA Sarmiento in the Argentina - Premier League on 02/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lanus vs CA Sarmiento?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lanus win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Lanus 47%, draw 30%, CA Sarmiento 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lanus), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lanus) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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