CA Sarmiento 0-0 Lanus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.17
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
42%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.44
Over 2.5
35%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.27
No
62%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2.03
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
15%
6.41
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
5.47
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.95
X/1
17%
6.19
X/2
14%
4.32
X/X
14%
3.45
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
21%
3.33
2/X
7%
15.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
28%
+1.6pp
28%
Draw
31%
-2.5pp
42%
Away Win
41%
+0.9pp
65%
Under 2.5
66%
-0.6pp
35%
Over 2.5
34%
+0.6pp
38%
BTTS Yes
40%
-1.7pp
62%
BTTS No
60%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CA Sarmiento EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Lanus EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -7%
1.07/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.28
+3% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -13%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
247 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 77%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
19.4 Crosses 20.8
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CA Sarmiento
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Lanus
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.10 xG 1.21
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
208 Passes 357
70% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Box Touches 21
22 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
14.02.2024 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento 0-1 HT 0-0 Lanus Lanus ARJ
19.09.2023 Lanus Lanus 0-0 HT 0-0 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento ARJ
22.04.2023 Lanus Lanus 2-1 HT 2-0 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento ARJ
06.08.2022 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento 2-1 HT 2-0 Lanus Lanus ARJ
04.09.2021 Lanus Lanus 1-1 HT 0-0 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento ARJ
17.04.2021 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento 1-0 HT 0-0 Lanus Lanus ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CA Sarmiento
0-0
AWAY Lanus
0.41 xG 1.39
34% Ball Possession 66%
13 Total Shots 17
1 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 7
156 Passes 422
61% Pass Accuracy 83%
13 Box Touches 17
24 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH CA Sarmiento vs Lanus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CA Sarmiento and Lanus fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Lanus at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, CA Sarmiento had 34% of the ball to Lanus's 66%, shots finished 13-17, expected goals 0.41 to 1.39.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for CA Sarmiento and 0.83 for Lanus.

What was the final score of CA Sarmiento vs Lanus?

CA Sarmiento 0-0 Lanus in the Argentina - Premier League on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CA Sarmiento vs Lanus?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lanus win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split CA Sarmiento 30%, draw 28%, Lanus 42%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Lanus) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lanus) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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