Brisbane Roar (K) vs Wellington Phoenix (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Brisbane Roar (K) v Wellington Phoenix (K) — Team-Based Signals
Brisbane Roar (K) vs Wellington Phoenix (K) Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Brisbane Roar (K) 1-0 Wellington Phoenix (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Brisbane Roar (K) edged past Wellington Phoenix (K) 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 30% / 31% — and on the day Brisbane Roar (K) made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (62%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Brisbane Roar (K) had 43% of the ball to Wellington Phoenix (K)'s 57%, shots finished 8-22, expected goals 1.07 to 1.08.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Brisbane Roar (K) and 1.50 for Wellington Phoenix (K).
What was the final score of Brisbane Roar (K) vs Wellington Phoenix (K)?
Brisbane Roar (K) 1-0 Wellington Phoenix (K) in the Australia - W-League on 02/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Brisbane Roar (K) vs Wellington Phoenix (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated a Brisbane Roar (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Brisbane Roar (K) 39%, draw 30%, Wellington Phoenix (K) 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brisbane Roar (K)) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.