Brisbane Roar (K) 1-0 Wellington Phoenix (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 2 Feb 2025

📅02/02/2025 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.0
Draw
30%
3.64
Away
31%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.21
Over 2.5
56%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.5
No
38%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
46%
-6.9pp
30%
Draw
24%
+5.7pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+1.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.2pp
62%
BTTS Yes
62%
-0.1pp
38%
BTTS No
38%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brisbane Roar (K) EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Wellington Phoenix (K) EU Bookmakers 33%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -29% / -29%
1.26/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.75/1.08
+0% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
300 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 74%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
16.7 Crosses 13.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brisbane Roar (K)
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Wellington Phoenix (K)
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.40 xG 1.48
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 8
8 Corners 8
309 Passes 268
72% Pass Accuracy 72%
22 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 1
08.12.2024 Wellington Phoenix (K) Wellington Phoenix (K) 2-1 HT 1-1 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) AVUSTW
07.01.2024 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) 2-1 HT 1-1 Wellington Phoenix (K) Wellington Phoenix (K) AVUSTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brisbane Roar (K)
1-0
AWAY Wellington Phoenix (K)
1.07 xG 1.08
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 22
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 8
255 Passes 379
71% Pass Accuracy 81%
10 Box Touches 28
10 Crosses 32
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Brisbane Roar (K) vs Wellington Phoenix (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brisbane Roar (K) edged past Wellington Phoenix (K) 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 30% / 31% — and on the day Brisbane Roar (K) made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Brisbane Roar (K) had 43% of the ball to Wellington Phoenix (K)'s 57%, shots finished 8-22, expected goals 1.07 to 1.08.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Brisbane Roar (K) and 1.50 for Wellington Phoenix (K).

What was the final score of Brisbane Roar (K) vs Wellington Phoenix (K)?

Brisbane Roar (K) 1-0 Wellington Phoenix (K) in the Australia - W-League on 02/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brisbane Roar (K) vs Wellington Phoenix (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brisbane Roar (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Brisbane Roar (K) 39%, draw 30%, Wellington Phoenix (K) 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brisbane Roar (K)) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Brisbane Roar (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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