Toulouse 1-1 Nice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 2 Feb 2025

Toulouse
1-1 HT 0-1
Nice
📅02/02/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2024/2025

Toulouse vs Nice Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.8
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
35%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
59%
1.86
Over
41%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.67
No
55%
2.07
Total Goals
0-1 ✗
32%
3.23
2-3
40%
1.76
4-5
19%
3.43
6+
9%
13.3
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.23 — our 32% vs market 24.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.36
1/2
8%
26.5
1/X
5%
12.6
X/1
12%
6.38
X/2
13%
5.37
X/X
15%
4.48
2/1
6%
31.0
2/2
14%
3.33
2/X
10%
12.3
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Toulouse v Nice — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Toulouse The Market 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Nice The Market 43%
-10% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -6%
1.31/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.21
-19% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +7%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
301 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 80%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
17.7 Crosses 17.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1

Toulouse vs Nice Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Toulouse
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Nice
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.39 xG 1.42
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
347 Passes 465
82% Pass Accuracy 87%
25 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
25.08.2024 Nice Nice 1-1 HT 0-0 Toulouse Toulouse FR1
03.03.2024 Toulouse Toulouse 2-1 HT 0-1 Nice Nice FR1
26.11.2023 Nice Nice 1-0 HT 0-0 Toulouse Toulouse FR1
21.05.2023 Nice Nice 0-0 HT 0-0 Toulouse Toulouse FR1
07.08.2022 Toulouse Toulouse 1-1 HT 1-0 Nice Nice FR1
15.02.2020 Toulouse Toulouse 0-2 HT 0-1 Nice Nice FR1

Toulouse 1-1 Nice — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Toulouse
1-1
AWAY Nice
1.47 xG 1.69
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
410 Passes 363
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
29 Box Touches 22
24 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Toulouse vs Nice
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Toulouse and Nice finished all square at 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

The preview numbers (35% / 30% / 35%) promised nothing between these sides, and the point apiece bears that out. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

The match data tells the story: possession split 53% to 47% in Toulouse's favour, shots finished 15-13, expected goals 1.47 to 1.69.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nice led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.67 a game for Toulouse against 1.00 for Nice.

Toulouse vs Nice Result & Final Score

Toulouse 1-1 Nice in the France - Ligue 1 on 02/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Toulouse vs Nice Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Toulouse win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Toulouse 35%, draw 30%, Nice 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/30/35) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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