Mamelodi Sundowns 4-0 Golden Arrows — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 2 Feb 2025

Mamelodi Sundowns
4-0 HT 1-0
Golden Arrows
📅02/02/2025 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
South Afrika - Premier League – 2024/2025

Mamelodi Sundowns vs Golden Arrows Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.29
Draw
25%
4.95
Away
16%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.07
Over 2.5
45%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.16
No
59%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.72
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
2.98
6+ Goals
10%
9.67
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.72 — our 28% vs market 20.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
73%
-14.0pp
24%
Draw
17%
+7.3pp
16%
Away Win
10%
+6.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
44%
+10.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
56%
-10.3pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.0pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mamelodi Sundowns v Golden Arrows — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mamelodi Sundowns EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Golden Arrows EU Bookmakers 12%
+3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.48/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/1.66
+32% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -16%
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
432 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 205 · 68%
26.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.2
14.0 Crosses 13.7
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.6

Mamelodi Sundowns vs Golden Arrows Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mamelodi Sundowns
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Golden Arrows
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
1.75 xG 0.53
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
471 Passes 233
85% Pass Accuracy 70%
27 Box Touches 11
16 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
19.10.2024 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 5-0 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows GAFLK
08.05.2024 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows 0-0 HT 0-0 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAFPSL
15.08.2023 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 4-0 HT 3-0 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows GAFPSL
10.09.2022 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 2-1 HT 1-0 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows GAFPSL
12.04.2022 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 6-0 HT 3-0 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows GAFPSL
20.10.2021 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows 0-1 HT 0-0 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAFPSL

Mamelodi Sundowns 4-0 Golden Arrows — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mamelodi Sundowns
4-0
AWAY Golden Arrows
3.26 xG 0.27
73% Ball Possession 27%
14 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 7
527 Passes 151
91% Pass Accuracy 76%
26 Box Touches 14
9 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Mamelodi Sundowns vs Golden Arrows
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mamelodi Sundowns ran out comfortable winners over Golden Arrows 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Mamelodi Sundowns as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (59%) landed while under 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, Mamelodi Sundowns had 73% of the ball to Golden Arrows's 27%, shots finished 14-4, expected goals 3.26 to 0.27.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mamelodi Sundowns had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Mamelodi Sundowns and 0.17 for Golden Arrows.

What was the final score of Mamelodi Sundowns vs Golden Arrows?

Mamelodi Sundowns 4-0 Golden Arrows in the South Afrika - Premier League on 02/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mamelodi Sundowns vs Golden Arrows?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mamelodi Sundowns win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Mamelodi Sundowns 59%, draw 24%, Golden Arrows 16%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mamelodi Sundowns), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mamelodi Sundowns) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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