Nairobi City Stars 0-1 Leopards SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 2 Feb 2025

📅02/02/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.94
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
34%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.52
Over 2.5
38%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.06
No
57%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
19%
X/X
20%
2/1
3%
2/2
10%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
31%
+3.5pp
32%
Draw
30%
+2.3pp
34%
Away Win
40%
-5.7pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
+0.2pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
-0.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.0pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nairobi City Stars EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Leopards SC EU Bookmakers 43%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
0.75/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.23
-21% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -16%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
265 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nairobi City Stars
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Leopards SC
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
29.09.2024 Leopards SC Leopards SC 2-1 Nairobi City Stars Nairobi City Stars KEN
05.01.2022 Nairobi City Stars Nairobi City Stars 0-1 HT 0-0 Leopards SC Leopards SC KEN2
POST-MATCH Nairobi City Stars vs Leopards SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leopards SC edged past Nairobi City Stars 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 32% / 34% — and on the day Leopards SC made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Leopards SC led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Nairobi City Stars and 1.50 for Leopards SC.

What was the final score of Nairobi City Stars vs Leopards SC?

Nairobi City Stars 0-1 Leopards SC in the Kenya - Premier League on 02/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nairobi City Stars vs Leopards SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nairobi City Stars win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Nairobi City Stars 34%, draw 32%, Leopards SC 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (34/32/34) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KEN More Kenya - Premier League
2 Feb 2025
13:00 Police vs Sofapaka Analysis →
14:00 Shabana vs Kariobangi Sharks Analysis →
15:00 Muranga All Stars vs Bandari Analysis →
16:00 Tusker vs KCB Nairobi Analysis →