Police vs Sofapaka Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Police v Sofapaka — Team-Based Signals
Police vs Sofapaka Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Police
KEN2
0-2
HT 0-1
Sofapaka
KEN2
Police 1-1 Sofapaka — Actual Match Statistics
Police and Sofapaka couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Police at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%) came in.
On the day, Police had 48% of the ball to Sofapaka's 52%, shots finished 13-7.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Sofapaka led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Police and 1.00 for Sofapaka.
What was the final score of Police vs Sofapaka?
Police 1-1 Sofapaka in the Kenya - Premier League on 02/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Police vs Sofapaka?
Before kick-off our model rated a Police win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Police 49%, draw 28%, Sofapaka 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Police), BTTS No went the other way.