Debrecen 3-1 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 2 Feb 2025

Debrecen
3-1 HT 1-1
Nyiregyhaza Spartacus
📅02/02/2025 · 🕒14:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Hungary - NB I – 2024/2025

Debrecen vs Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.05
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.66
No
52%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.42
2-3 Goals
36%
1.76
4-5 Goals
25%
3.16
6+ Goals
11%
11.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.42 — our 28% vs market 22.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
45%
+1.5pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.2pp
29%
Away Win
29%
-0.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.9pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Debrecen v Nyiregyhaza Spartacus — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Debrecen EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Nyiregyhaza Spartacus EU Bookmakers 32%
+4% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.41/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.61
-3% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +30%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
301 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 76%
26.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.3
22.0 Crosses 17.9
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.0

Debrecen vs Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Debrecen
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Nyiregyhaza Spartacus
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.61 xG 2.10
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
319 Passes 220
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 25
22 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 5
The Meetings
21.09.2024 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 3-2 HT 2-1 Debrecen Debrecen MAC
11.04.2021 Debrecen Debrecen 1-1 HT 1-0 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Nyiregyhaza Spartacus MAC2
25.10.2020 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 1-1 HT 1-0 Debrecen Debrecen MAC2
30.06.2018 Debrecen Debrecen 2-0 HT 2-0 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Nyiregyhaza Spartacus HAZ
09.02.2016 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 1-2 HT 1-1 Debrecen Debrecen MACK
30.11.2014 Debrecen Debrecen 5-0 HT 3-0 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Nyiregyhaza Spartacus MAC

Debrecen 3-1 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Debrecen
3-1
AWAY Nyiregyhaza Spartacus
1.73 xG 0.81
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 4
239 Passes 131
69% Pass Accuracy 59%
29 Box Touches 17
42 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Debrecen vs Nyiregyhaza Spartacus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Debrecen got the better of Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Debrecen as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Debrecen had 62% of the ball to Nyiregyhaza Spartacus's 38%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 1.73 to 0.81.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Debrecen had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Debrecen and 1.00 for Nyiregyhaza Spartacus.

What was the final score of Debrecen vs Nyiregyhaza Spartacus?

Debrecen 3-1 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus in the Hungary - NB I on 02/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Debrecen vs Nyiregyhaza Spartacus?

Before kick-off our model rated a Debrecen win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Debrecen 47%, draw 25%, Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Debrecen) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Debrecen) ✗ BTTS No
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