Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 3-2 Debrecen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.8
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
30%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.95
Over 2.5
48%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.6
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals
20%
3.34
6+ Goals
12%
12.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.6 — our 30% vs market 22.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
32%
+9.2pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.2pp
30%
Away Win
41%
-11.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.5pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nyiregyhaza Spartacus EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Debrecen EU Bookmakers 45%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -6%
2.80/0.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.22
+87% / -53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +6%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
222 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 76%
28.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
27.0 Crosses 18.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nyiregyhaza Spartacus
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Debrecen
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
7 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
11.04.2021 Debrecen Debrecen 1-1 HT 1-0 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Nyiregyhaza Spartacus MAC2
25.10.2020 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 1-1 HT 1-0 Debrecen Debrecen MAC2
30.06.2018 Debrecen Debrecen 2-0 HT 2-0 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Nyiregyhaza Spartacus HAZ
09.02.2016 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 1-2 HT 1-1 Debrecen Debrecen MACK
30.11.2014 Debrecen Debrecen 5-0 HT 3-0 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Nyiregyhaza Spartacus MAC
25.07.2014 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 1-1 HT 0-1 Debrecen Debrecen MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nyiregyhaza Spartacus
3-2
AWAY Debrecen
2.10 xG 1.61
42% Ball Possession 58%
15 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
220 Passes 319
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
25 Box Touches 17
23 Crosses 22
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nyiregyhaza Spartacus vs Debrecen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nyiregyhaza Spartacus squeezed past Debrecen 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Nyiregyhaza Spartacus as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Nyiregyhaza Spartacus had 42% of the ball to Debrecen's 58%, shots finished 15-14, expected goals 2.10 to 1.61.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Debrecen led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Nyiregyhaza Spartacus and 2.00 for Debrecen.

What was the final score of Nyiregyhaza Spartacus vs Debrecen?

Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 3-2 Debrecen in the Hungary - NB I on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nyiregyhaza Spartacus vs Debrecen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nyiregyhaza Spartacus win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 42%, draw 29%, Debrecen 30%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nyiregyhaza Spartacus) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nyiregyhaza Spartacus) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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