Ujpest 0-0 Diosgyor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.8
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.03
Over 2.5
55%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.9
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
27%
3.16
6+ Goals
12%
10.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
26%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
52%
-5.5pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.5pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
45%
-0.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
55%
+0.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.9pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ujpest EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Diosgyor EU Bookmakers 27%
+3% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -4%
2.13/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.73/1.25
+13% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -5%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
430 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 76%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.1
17.9 Crosses 18.4
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ujpest
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Diosgyor
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.76 xG 1.43
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
272 Passes 395
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 23
12 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
04.05.2024 Ujpest Ujpest 7-0 HT 4-0 Diosgyor Diosgyor MAC
11.02.2024 Diosgyor Diosgyor 1-2 HT 0-1 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
07.10.2023 Ujpest Ujpest 2-0 HT 0-0 Diosgyor Diosgyor MAC
29.04.2021 Diosgyor Diosgyor 0-0 HT 0-0 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
12.02.2021 Ujpest Ujpest 1-0 HT 0-0 Diosgyor Diosgyor MAC
07.03.2020 Diosgyor Diosgyor 2-1 HT 1-0 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ujpest
0-0
AWAY Diosgyor
0.79 xG 0.80
65% Ball Possession 35%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 7
432 Passes 195
81% Pass Accuracy 71%
18 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Ujpest vs Diosgyor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ujpest and Diosgyor fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Ujpest at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ujpest had 65% of the ball to Diosgyor's 35%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 0.79 to 0.80.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ujpest had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Ujpest and 0.50 for Diosgyor.

What was the final score of Ujpest vs Diosgyor?

Ujpest 0-0 Diosgyor in the Hungary - NB I on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ujpest vs Diosgyor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ujpest win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Ujpest 46%, draw 28%, Diosgyor 26%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ujpest) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MAC More Hungary - NB I
21 Sep 2024
15:30 Zalaegerszegi TE vs Kecskemeti TE Analysis →
20:30 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus vs Debrecen Analysis →