Zalaegerszegi TE 2-1 Kecskemeti TE — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
28%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.86
Over 2.5
52%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.32
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
28%
3.56
6+ Goals
10%
14.1
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.56 — our 28% vs market 22.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
12%
X/1
12%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-0.4pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.7pp
28%
Away Win
29%
-1.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
50%
-1.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
50%
+1.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.8pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zalaegerszegi TE EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Kecskemeti TE EU Bookmakers 32%
-1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -11%
0.95/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.65
-16% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
291 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 79%
18.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
17.9 Crosses 16.3
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zalaegerszegi TE
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Kecskemeti TE
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.15 xG 1.77
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
238 Passes 375
72% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Box Touches 26
17 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
19.05.2024 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE 2-1 HT 0-1 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MAC
24.02.2024 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 3-1 HT 2-0 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE MAC
28.10.2023 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE 3-1 HT 2-0 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MAC
15.04.2023 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE 3-0 HT 2-0 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MAC
12.11.2022 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 0-0 HT 0-0 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE MAC
27.08.2022 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE 3-1 HT 1-1 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zalaegerszegi TE
2-1
AWAY Kecskemeti TE
2.52 xG 1.03
34% Ball Possession 66%
18 Total Shots 13
10 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
243 Passes 544
75% Pass Accuracy 88%
19 Box Touches 19
11 Crosses 20
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Zalaegerszegi TE vs Kecskemeti TE
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zalaegerszegi TE nicked a narrow win over Kecskemeti TE 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Zalaegerszegi TE as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Zalaegerszegi TE had 34% of the ball to Kecskemeti TE's 66%, shots finished 18-13, expected goals 2.52 to 1.03 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Zalaegerszegi TE's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kecskemeti TE led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Zalaegerszegi TE and 2.00 for Kecskemeti TE.

What was the final score of Zalaegerszegi TE vs Kecskemeti TE?

Zalaegerszegi TE 2-1 Kecskemeti TE in the Hungary - NB I on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zalaegerszegi TE vs Kecskemeti TE?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zalaegerszegi TE win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Zalaegerszegi TE 43%, draw 29%, Kecskemeti TE 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zalaegerszegi TE), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zalaegerszegi TE) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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