Ujpest 7-0 Diosgyor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 4 May 2024

Ujpest
7-0 HT 4-0
Diosgyor
📅04/05/2024 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Hungary - NB I – 2023/2024

Ujpest vs Diosgyor Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.33
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
33%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.21
Over 2.5
50%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.5
No
43%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.45
2-3 Goals
45%
1.89
4-5 Goals
22%
2.92
6+ Goals
10%
8.58
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
39%
-1.6pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.2pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-2.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
62%
-5.2pp
43%
BTTS No
38%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ujpest v Diosgyor — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ujpest EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Diosgyor EU Bookmakers 39%
+6% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -5%
1.75/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.63
+17% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -23%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
332 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 82%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.3
17.6 Crosses 23.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3

Ujpest vs Diosgyor Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ujpest
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Diosgyor
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.64 xG 1.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
268 Passes 409
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 23
12 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
11.02.2024 Diosgyor Diosgyor 1-2 HT 0-1 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
07.10.2023 Ujpest Ujpest 2-0 HT 0-0 Diosgyor Diosgyor MAC
29.04.2021 Diosgyor Diosgyor 0-0 HT 0-0 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
12.02.2021 Ujpest Ujpest 1-0 HT 0-0 Diosgyor Diosgyor MAC
07.03.2020 Diosgyor Diosgyor 2-1 HT 1-0 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
23.11.2019 Ujpest Ujpest 0-2 HT 0-2 Diosgyor Diosgyor MAC

Ujpest 7-0 Diosgyor — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ujpest
7-0
AWAY Diosgyor
2.01 xG 0.94
43% Ball Possession 57%
16 Total Shots 16
8 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 6
281 Passes 368
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
11 Box Touches 23
11 Crosses 20
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ujpest vs Diosgyor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ujpest cruised past Diosgyor 7-0. Half-time: 4-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 30% / 33% — and on the day Ujpest made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ujpest had 43% of the ball to Diosgyor's 57%, shots finished 16-16, expected goals 2.01 to 0.94.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ujpest had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ujpest and 0.83 for Diosgyor.

What was the final score of Ujpest vs Diosgyor?

Ujpest 7-0 Diosgyor in the Hungary - NB I on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ujpest vs Diosgyor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ujpest win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Ujpest 37%, draw 30%, Diosgyor 33%. The final score 7-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ujpest) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ujpest) ✗ BTTS Yes
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