Ferencvaros 0-0 MTK Budapest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 2 Feb 2025

📅02/02/2025 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.53
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
26%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
24%
3.86
2-3 Goals
43%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
2.91
6+ Goals
9%
9.07
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.86 — our 24% vs market 19.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
61%
-10.6pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.6pp
26%
Away Win
17%
+9.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.3pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ferencvaros EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY MTK Budapest EU Bookmakers 21%
-1% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +18%
1.97/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.42
+19% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -15%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
397 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 74%
37.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
24.1 Crosses 10.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ferencvaros
4W-1D-1L
AWAY MTK Budapest
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.76 xG 0.86
62% Ball Possession 38%
21 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 2
508 Passes 311
87% Pass Accuracy 81%
38 Box Touches 10
26 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
20.09.2024 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 1-3 HT 1-2 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MAC
28.04.2024 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 1-2 HT 1-2 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MAC
06.02.2024 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 5-1 HT 1-1 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
30.09.2023 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 1-6 HT 1-2 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MAC
07.05.2022 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 0-3 HT 0-0 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
19.02.2022 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 0-0 HT 0-0 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ferencvaros
0-0
AWAY MTK Budapest
1.46 xG 0.18
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
471 Passes 322
89% Pass Accuracy 82%
35 Box Touches 7
31 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ferencvaros vs MTK Budapest
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ferencvaros and MTK Budapest fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Ferencvaros at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Ferencvaros had 58% of the ball to MTK Budapest's 42%, shots finished 13-4, expected goals 1.46 to 0.18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ferencvaros had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Ferencvaros and 1.17 for MTK Budapest.

What was the final score of Ferencvaros vs MTK Budapest?

Ferencvaros 0-0 MTK Budapest in the Hungary - NB I on 02/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ferencvaros vs MTK Budapest?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ferencvaros win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Ferencvaros 50%, draw 23%, MTK Budapest 26%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Ferencvaros) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ferencvaros) ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MAC More Hungary - NB I
2 Feb 2025
14:45 Debrecen vs Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Analysis →
19:30 Kecskemeti TE vs Zalaegerszegi TE Analysis →