MTK Budapest 1-2 Ferencvaros — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 28 Apr 2024

MTK Budapest
1-2 HT 1-2
Ferencvaros
📅28/04/2024 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✓ 2nd Score 0-3 ✗
Hungary - NB I – 2023/2024

MTK Budapest vs Ferencvaros Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.71
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
54%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.23
Over 2.5
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.53
2-3 Goals
38%
1.9
4-5 Goals
28%
2.9
6+ Goals
8%
8.36
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
20%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
28%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
18%
+5.1pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.0pp
54%
Away Win
61%
-7.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.6pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

MTK Budapest v Ferencvaros — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MTK Budapest EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Ferencvaros EU Bookmakers 66%
+4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +6%
1.51/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.05/0.89
-26% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -10%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
273 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 80%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.6
13.1 Crosses 18.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.3

MTK Budapest vs Ferencvaros Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME MTK Budapest
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Ferencvaros
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.58 xG 3.02
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 8
277 Passes 543
78% Pass Accuracy 88%
9 Box Touches 44
4 Crosses 29
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
06.02.2024 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 5-1 HT 1-1 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
30.09.2023 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 1-6 HT 1-2 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MAC
07.05.2022 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 0-3 HT 0-0 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
19.02.2022 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 0-0 HT 0-0 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MAC
24.10.2021 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 0-0 HT 0-0 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
27.02.2021 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 2-2 HT 0-2 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MAC
POST-MATCH MTK Budapest vs Ferencvaros
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ferencvaros edged past MTK Budapest 2-1 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ferencvaros as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ferencvaros led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for MTK Budapest and 2.17 for Ferencvaros.

What was the final score of MTK Budapest vs Ferencvaros?

MTK Budapest 1-2 Ferencvaros in the Hungary - NB I on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MTK Budapest vs Ferencvaros?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ferencvaros win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split MTK Budapest 23%, draw 23%, Ferencvaros 54%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ferencvaros), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ferencvaros) ✓ Over 2.5
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