Kisvarda 1-0 MOL Fehervar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 28 Apr 2024

Kisvarda
1-0
MOL Fehervar
📅28/04/2024 · 🕒16:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Hungary - NB I – 2023/2024

Kisvarda vs MOL Fehervar Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
37%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.9
Over 2.5
47%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.4
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.49
6+ Goals
10%
13.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.4 — our 29% vs market 24.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
9%
X/2
20%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
+0.5pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.5pp
37%
Away Win
39%
-2.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
49%
+4.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
51%
-4.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.1pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kisvarda v MOL Fehervar — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kisvarda EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY MOL Fehervar EU Bookmakers 43%
+7% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -22%
1.73/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.25/1.43
+17% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +14%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
337 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 78%
20.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
20.4 Crosses 15.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4

Kisvarda vs MOL Fehervar Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kisvarda
1W-1D-4L
AWAY MOL Fehervar
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.78 xG 1.44
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
297 Passes 264
72% Pass Accuracy 72%
22 Box Touches 17
24 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
07.02.2024 Kisvarda Kisvarda 1-2 HT 0-0 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar MAC
01.10.2023 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar 3-1 HT 1-1 Kisvarda Kisvarda MAC
16.04.2023 Kisvarda Kisvarda 0-0 HT 0-0 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar MAC
13.11.2022 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar 4-1 HT 2-0 Kisvarda Kisvarda MAC
28.08.2022 Kisvarda Kisvarda 3-1 HT 0-0 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar MAC
02.04.2022 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar 5-3 HT 2-3 Kisvarda Kisvarda MAC

Kisvarda 1-0 MOL Fehervar — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kisvarda
1-0
AWAY MOL Fehervar
49% Ball Possession 51%
22 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Kisvarda vs MOL Fehervar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kisvarda squeezed past MOL Fehervar 1-0.

Our pre-match split (34% / 29% / 37%) promised a tight game; Kisvarda found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Kisvarda had 49% of the ball to MOL Fehervar's 51%, shots finished 22-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, MOL Fehervar led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Kisvarda and 2.50 for MOL Fehervar.

What was the final score of Kisvarda vs MOL Fehervar?

Kisvarda 1-0 MOL Fehervar in the Hungary - NB I on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kisvarda vs MOL Fehervar?

Before kick-off our model rated an MOL Fehervar win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Kisvarda 34%, draw 29%, MOL Fehervar 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (MOL Fehervar), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (MOL Fehervar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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