MTK Budapest 1-3 Ferencvaros — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 20 Sep 2024

📅20/09/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.71
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
53%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.07
Over 2.5
56%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.76
No
44%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.96
2-3 Goals
45%
1.84
4-5 Goals
23%
3.13
6+ Goals
10%
10.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
27%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
18%
+5.5pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.7pp
53%
Away Win
60%
-7.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
-0.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
+0.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
53%
+3.0pp
44%
BTTS No
47%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MTK Budapest EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Ferencvaros EU Bookmakers 64%
+4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +5%
1.51/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.94/0.95
-25% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -9%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
218 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 77%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.4
13.1 Crosses 17.8
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME MTK Budapest
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Ferencvaros
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.58 xG 3.02
35% Ball Possession 65%
7 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 9
277 Passes 543
78% Pass Accuracy 88%
9 Box Touches 44
4 Crosses 29
1 Yellow Cards 1
28.04.2024 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 1-2 HT 1-2 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MAC
06.02.2024 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 5-1 HT 1-1 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
30.09.2023 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 1-6 HT 1-2 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MAC
07.05.2022 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 0-3 HT 0-0 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
19.02.2022 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 0-0 HT 0-0 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MAC
24.10.2021 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 0-0 HT 0-0 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME MTK Budapest
1-3
AWAY Ferencvaros
1.41 xG 2.23
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
379 Passes 437
86% Pass Accuracy 87%
11 Box Touches 27
11 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH MTK Budapest vs Ferencvaros
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ferencvaros beat MTK Budapest 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ferencvaros as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, MTK Budapest had 46% of the ball to Ferencvaros's 54%, shots finished 10-18, expected goals 1.41 to 2.23.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ferencvaros led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for MTK Budapest and 2.17 for Ferencvaros.

What was the final score of MTK Budapest vs Ferencvaros?

MTK Budapest 1-3 Ferencvaros in the Hungary - NB I on 20/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MTK Budapest vs Ferencvaros?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ferencvaros win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split MTK Budapest 24%, draw 24%, Ferencvaros 53%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ferencvaros), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ferencvaros) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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