Ceramica Cleopatra 0-1 Smouha — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 2 Feb 2025

📅02/02/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.02
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.6
Over 2.5
39%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.96
No
61%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.42
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals
18%
4.37
6+ Goals
8%
23.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-1.9pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.1pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.0pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.9pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.9pp
39%
BTTS Yes
47%
-7.5pp
61%
BTTS No
53%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ceramica Cleopatra EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Smouha EU Bookmakers 29%
+4% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.22/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.01
+10% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +3%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
325 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 75%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.1
16.2 Crosses 14.3
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ceramica Cleopatra
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Smouha
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.49 xG 0.83
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
323 Passes 218
77% Pass Accuracy 68%
24 Box Touches 15
20 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
12.08.2024 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra 0-1 HT 0-0 Smouha Smouha MSR
10.03.2024 Smouha Smouha 1-0 HT 1-0 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra MSR
07.06.2023 Smouha Smouha 2-2 HT 2-1 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra MSR
20.01.2023 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra 0-2 HT 0-1 Smouha Smouha MSR
04.08.2022 Smouha Smouha 1-1 HT 0-0 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra MSR
08.03.2022 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra 1-1 HT 1-1 Smouha Smouha MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ceramica Cleopatra
0-1
AWAY Smouha
0.55 xG 0.96
62% Ball Possession 38%
13 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 1
371 Passes 180
77% Pass Accuracy 63%
16 Box Touches 15
8 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ceramica Cleopatra vs Smouha
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Smouha edged past Ceramica Cleopatra 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Ceramica Cleopatra at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Ceramica Cleopatra had 62% of the ball to Smouha's 38%, shots finished 13-6, expected goals 0.55 to 0.96.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Smouha led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Ceramica Cleopatra and 1.33 for Smouha.

What was the final score of Ceramica Cleopatra vs Smouha?

Ceramica Cleopatra 0-1 Smouha in the Egypt - Premier League on 02/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ceramica Cleopatra vs Smouha?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ceramica Cleopatra win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Ceramica Cleopatra 44%, draw 29%, Smouha 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Ceramica Cleopatra) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ceramica Cleopatra) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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MSR More Egypt - Premier League
2 Feb 2025
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