Alverca vs Uniao De Leiria Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alverca v Uniao De Leiria — Team-Based Signals
Alverca vs Uniao De Leiria Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-1
Uniao De Leiria
POR3
1-2
HT 0-2
Alverca
POR3
1-4
HT 0-3
Uniao De Leiria
POR
2-1
HT 2-0
Alverca
POR
2-1
HT 1-0
Alverca
POR
Alverca 2-1 Uniao De Leiria — Actual Match Statistics
Alverca squeezed past Uniao De Leiria 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match split (34% / 32% / 34%) promised a tight game; Alverca found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Alverca had 40% of the ball to Uniao De Leiria's 60%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 1.45 to 0.89.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Uniao De Leiria led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Alverca and 2.00 for Uniao De Leiria.
What was the final score of Alverca vs Uniao De Leiria?
Alverca 2-1 Uniao De Leiria in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 02/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alverca vs Uniao De Leiria?
Before kick-off our model rated a Alverca win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Alverca 34%, draw 32%, Uniao De Leiria 34%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.