Chaves vs Maritimo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Chaves v Maritimo — Team-Based Signals
Chaves vs Maritimo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-1
Maritimo
POR
1-2
HT 1-0
Chaves
POR
1-0
HT 0-0
Maritimo
POR
2-1
HT 0-1
Chaves
POR
4-1
HT 2-1
Maritimo
POR
Chaves 1-1 Maritimo — Actual Match Statistics
Chaves and Maritimo couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 30% / 30% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.
On the day, Chaves had 53% of the ball to Maritimo's 47%, shots finished 8-8, expected goals 1.03 to 0.67.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chaves had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Chaves and 1.00 for Maritimo.
What was the final score of Chaves vs Maritimo?
Chaves 1-1 Maritimo in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 02/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Chaves vs Maritimo?
Before kick-off our model rated a Chaves win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Chaves 40%, draw 30%, Maritimo 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Chaves), BTTS No went the other way.