Maritimo vs Chaves Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Maritimo v Chaves — Team-Based Signals
Maritimo vs Chaves Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-1
Maritimo
POR
1-2
HT 1-0
Chaves
POR
1-0
HT 0-0
Maritimo
POR
2-1
HT 0-1
Chaves
POR
4-1
HT 2-1
Maritimo
POR
1-2
HT 0-1
Chaves
POR
Maritimo 1-1 Chaves — Actual Match Statistics
Maritimo and Chaves shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.
Our pre-match lean was Maritimo at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.
On the day, Maritimo had 47% of the ball to Chaves's 53%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 0.90 to 0.96.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chaves led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Maritimo and 2.00 for Chaves.
What was the final score of Maritimo vs Chaves?
Maritimo 1-1 Chaves in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Maritimo vs Chaves?
Before kick-off our model rated a Maritimo win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Maritimo 45%, draw 26%, Chaves 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Maritimo), BTTS No went the other way.