Academico Viseu 2-0 Porto II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.92
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
32%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.91
Over 2.5
44%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.73
No
54%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.4
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.49
6+ Goals
8%
13.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.4 — our 32% vs market 24.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
48%
-9.1pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.4pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+5.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
54%
-7.4pp
54%
BTTS No
46%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Academico Viseu EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Porto II EU Bookmakers 30%
+0% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +7%
1.43/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.36
-17% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
287 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
23.5 Crosses 18.1
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Academico Viseu
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Porto II
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.73 xG 2.14
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
245 Passes 351
73% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 2
08.04.2024 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu 0-2 HT 0-0 Porto II Porto II POR2
25.11.2023 Porto II Porto II 3-0 HT 1-0 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu POR2
14.05.2023 Porto II Porto II 3-1 HT 2-1 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu POR2
07.01.2023 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu 2-1 HT 0-0 Porto II Porto II POR2
29.04.2022 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu 1-1 HT 1-0 Porto II Porto II POR2
19.12.2021 Porto II Porto II 1-0 HT 0-0 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Academico Viseu
2-0
AWAY Porto II
1.30 xG 2.49
40% Ball Possession 60%
13 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 8
187 Passes 311
65% Pass Accuracy 75%
9 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Academico Viseu vs Porto II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Academico Viseu saw off Porto II 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 32% — and on the day Academico Viseu made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Academico Viseu had 40% of the ball to Porto II's 60%, shots finished 13-15, expected goals 1.30 to 2.49 — the balance of chances actually favoured Porto II.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Porto II led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Academico Viseu and 1.83 for Porto II.

What was the final score of Academico Viseu vs Porto II?

Academico Viseu 2-0 Porto II in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Academico Viseu vs Porto II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Academico Viseu win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Academico Viseu 39%, draw 29%, Porto II 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Academico Viseu), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Academico Viseu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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