Benfica II 1-0 Vizela — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.47
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
38%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.9
Over 2.5
53%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.39
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
3.5
6+ Goals
11%
13.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
10%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+0.7pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.2pp
38%
Away Win
36%
+1.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
49%
-1.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
51%
+1.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.7pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Benfica II EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Vizela EU Bookmakers 40%
+7% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.51/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.38
+44% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / +4%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
311 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.4 Crosses 17.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Benfica II
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Vizela
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.78 xG 2.20
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 2
330 Passes 244
77% Pass Accuracy 72%
16 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
19.04.2021 Vizela Vizela 1-0 HT 0-0 Benfica II Benfica II POR2
20.12.2020 Benfica II Benfica II 1-1 HT 1-1 Vizela Vizela POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Benfica II
1-0
AWAY Vizela
1.83 xG 0.84
37% Ball Possession 63%
19 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 4
231 Passes 418
78% Pass Accuracy 85%
13 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Benfica II vs Vizela
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Benfica II nicked a narrow win over Vizela 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 25% / 38%) promised a tight game; Benfica II found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Benfica II had 37% of the ball to Vizela's 63%, shots finished 19-8, expected goals 1.83 to 0.84.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Vizela led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Benfica II and 1.00 for Vizela.

What was the final score of Benfica II vs Vizela?

Benfica II 1-0 Vizela in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Benfica II vs Vizela?

Before kick-off our model rated a Benfica II win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Benfica II 38%, draw 25%, Vizela 38%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/25/38) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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