Kallithea 0-1 Aris Saloniki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 2 Feb 2025

📅02/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.08
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
41%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.59
Over 2.5
39%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.95
No
57%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.39
2-3 Goals
41%
1.72
4-5 Goals
19%
4.44
6+ Goals
8%
24.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
5.26
1/2
5%
31.0
1/X
7%
13.85
X/1
15%
6.67
X/2
15%
4.86
X/X
15%
3.81
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
21%
3.21
2/X
6%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
29%
+1.7pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.0pp
42%
Away Win
41%
+0.3pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.8pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.4pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kallithea EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Aris Saloniki EU Bookmakers 45%
-26% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -21%
1.13/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.18
-35% / -50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -19%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
280 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 79%
16.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
21.7 Crosses 16.3
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kallithea
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Aris Saloniki
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
34% Ball Possession 66%
4 Total Shots 22
2 Shots on Target 8
0 Corners 10
228 Passes 523
75% Pass Accuracy 89%
20.10.2024 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 2-0 Kallithea Kallithea YUN
25.05.2005 Kallithea Kallithea 3-1 HT 1-1 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
16.01.2005 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 2-2 HT 1-1 Kallithea Kallithea YUN
21.02.2004 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 0-1 HT 0-1 Kallithea Kallithea YUN
09.03.2003 Kallithea Kallithea 0-2 HT 0-0 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
10.11.2002 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 1-1 HT 0-1 Kallithea Kallithea YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kallithea
0-1
AWAY Aris Saloniki
1.10 xG 1.36
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 4
317 Passes 357
86% Pass Accuracy 83%
28 Box Touches 22
28 Crosses 10
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kallithea vs Aris Saloniki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aris Saloniki squeezed past Kallithea 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Aris Saloniki as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Kallithea had 47% of the ball to Aris Saloniki's 53%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 1.10 to 1.36.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Kallithea and 1.33 for Aris Saloniki.

What was the final score of Kallithea vs Aris Saloniki?

Kallithea 0-1 Aris Saloniki in the Greece - Super League on 02/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kallithea vs Aris Saloniki?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aris Saloniki win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Kallithea 31%, draw 28%, Aris Saloniki 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aris Saloniki), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Aris Saloniki) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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