PAOK 1-2 AEK Atina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 2 Feb 2025

📅02/02/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.47
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
36%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.68
Over 2.5
49%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.64
2-3 Goals
43%
1.71
4-5 Goals
22%
3.96
6+ Goals
8%
19.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.89
1/2
7%
32.0
1/X
7%
12.85
X/1
17%
5.62
X/2
11%
5.75
X/X
14%
4.02
2/1
6%
31.0
2/2
19%
4.02
2/X
6%
12.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
36%
-0.6pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.6pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+2.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.4pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PAOK EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY AEK Atina EU Bookmakers 38%
-4% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -17%
1.02/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/0.83
+1% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -20%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
274 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 75%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
18.0 Crosses 20.3
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PAOK
1W-4D-1L
AWAY AEK Atina
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.28 xG 0.82
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
192 Passes 290
68% Pass Accuracy 77%
27 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
09.01.2025 PAOK PAOK 1-1 HT 0-0 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUK
18.12.2024 AEK Atina AEK Atina 1-0 HT 0-0 PAOK PAOK YUK
20.10.2024 AEK Atina AEK Atina 1-1 HT 1-1 PAOK PAOK YUN
28.04.2024 PAOK PAOK 3-2 HT 1-1 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
07.04.2024 AEK Atina AEK Atina 2-2 HT 1-0 PAOK PAOK YUN
11.02.2024 PAOK PAOK 1-1 HT 0-0 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PAOK
1-2
AWAY AEK Atina
1.18 xG 0.96
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 3
253 Passes 266
73% Pass Accuracy 74%
23 Box Touches 19
10 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 8
POST-MATCH PAOK vs AEK Atina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AEK Atina squeezed past PAOK 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 37%) promised a tight game; AEK Atina found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, PAOK had 50% of the ball to AEK Atina's 50%, shots finished 10-15, expected goals 1.18 to 0.96.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for PAOK and 1.33 for AEK Atina.

What was the final score of PAOK vs AEK Atina?

PAOK 1-2 AEK Atina in the Greece - Super League on 02/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PAOK vs AEK Atina?

Before kick-off our model rated an AEK Atina win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split PAOK 36%, draw 28%, AEK Atina 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AEK Atina), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AEK Atina) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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