Al Akhdoud 1-1 Neom SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 2 Feb 2026

📅02/02/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.87
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
54%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.98
2-3 Goals
36%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
3.64
6+ Goals
11%
15.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.98 — our 32% vs market 26.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
6%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
34%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
22%
+1.4pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.8pp
55%
Away Win
53%
+1.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.4pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Akhdoud EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Neom SC EU Bookmakers 57%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +35% / +35%
0.82/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/0.84
-4% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -37%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
308 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 80%
13.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.3
15.6 Crosses 13.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Akhdoud
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Neom SC
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.19 xG 0.40
40% Ball Possession 60%
5 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
239 Passes 413
80% Pass Accuracy 88%
6 Box Touches 16
23 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
18.09.2025 Neom SC Neom SC 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Akhdoud
1-1
AWAY Neom SC
0.47 xG 2.64
32% Ball Possession 68%
7 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 7
162 Passes 408
70% Pass Accuracy 85%
8 Box Touches 39
8 Crosses 31
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Akhdoud vs Neom SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Akhdoud and Neom SC shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Neom SC at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Akhdoud had 32% of the ball to Neom SC's 68%, shots finished 7-19, expected goals 0.47 to 2.64.

What was the final score of Al Akhdoud vs Neom SC?

Al Akhdoud 1-1 Neom SC in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 02/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Akhdoud vs Neom SC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Neom SC win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Al Akhdoud 24%, draw 22%, Neom SC 55%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Neom SC), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Neom SC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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