Al Riyadh vs Al Nassr Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Riyadh v Al Nassr — Team-Based Signals
Al Riyadh vs Al Nassr Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
4-1
HT 2-0
Al Riyadh
SUUD
Al Riyadh 0-1 Al Nassr — Actual Match Statistics
Al Nassr nicked a narrow win over Al Riyadh 1-0 away from home.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Nassr as the likeliest winner at 74%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Al Riyadh had 36% of the ball to Al Nassr's 64%, shots finished 5-13, expected goals 0.57 to 1.63.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Al Nassr led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Riyadh and 2.80 for Al Nassr.
What was the final score of Al Riyadh vs Al Nassr?
Al Riyadh 0-1 Al Nassr in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 02/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Riyadh vs Al Nassr?
Before kick-off our model rated an Al Nassr win the most likely single outcome at about 74%, with the full match-result split Al Riyadh 11%, draw 15%, Al Nassr 74%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Nassr) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.