Al Nassr vs Al Riyadh Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Nassr v Al Riyadh — Team-Based Signals
Al Nassr vs Al Riyadh Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
4-1
HT 2-0
Al Riyadh
SUUD
Al Nassr 2-1 Al Riyadh — Actual Match Statistics
Al Nassr squeezed past Al Riyadh 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Nassr as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.
On the day, Al Nassr had 67% of the ball to Al Riyadh's 33%, shots finished 19-15, expected goals 3.07 to 1.70 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Al Nassr's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Al Nassr had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Al Nassr and 1.00 for Al Riyadh.
What was the final score of Al Nassr vs Al Riyadh?
Al Nassr 2-1 Al Riyadh in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Nassr vs Al Riyadh?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al Nassr win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Al Nassr 63%, draw 21%, Al Riyadh 15%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Nassr), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.