Al Khaleej 1-5 Al Fateh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒18:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.53
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
35%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.18
Over 2.5
54%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.55
No
44%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.16
2-3 Goals
40%
1.85
4-5 Goals
24%
2.86
6+ Goals
13%
8.36
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
18%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
36%
+4.1pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.6pp
35%
Away Win
39%
-3.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
42%
+4.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
58%
-4.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.7pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Khaleej EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Fateh EU Bookmakers 43%
-11% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -2%
1.14/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.35
-27% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / -14%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
354 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 79%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.2
18.6 Crosses 18.3
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Khaleej
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Al Fateh
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.44 xG 1.22
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
275 Passes 383
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
23 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.11.2024 Al Fateh Al Fateh 1-2 HT 0-0 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej SUUD
09.03.2024 Al Fateh Al Fateh 1-2 HT 0-1 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej SUUD
15.09.2023 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej 1-3 HT 0-2 Al Fateh Al Fateh SUUD
06.04.2023 Al Fateh Al Fateh 2-0 HT 0-0 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej SUUD
11.10.2022 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej 1-2 HT 0-1 Al Fateh Al Fateh SUUD
29.04.2017 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Fateh Al Fateh SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Khaleej
1-5
AWAY Al Fateh
0.85 xG 4.03
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 24
4 Shots on Target 12
7 Corners 7
264 Passes 320
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Box Touches 40
15 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Khaleej vs Al Fateh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Fateh cruised past Al Khaleej 5-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (40% / 25% / 35%) promised a tight game; Al Fateh found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Al Khaleej had 46% of the ball to Al Fateh's 54%, shots finished 11-24, expected goals 0.85 to 4.03.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Fateh led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Al Khaleej and 1.67 for Al Fateh.

What was the final score of Al Khaleej vs Al Fateh?

Al Khaleej 1-5 Al Fateh in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Khaleej vs Al Fateh?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Khaleej win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Al Khaleej 40%, draw 25%, Al Fateh 35%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Khaleej) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Khaleej) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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