Al Fayha 2-1 Al-Qadsiah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
4.65
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
46%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.74
Over 2.5
41%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.03
No
58%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.75
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
3.91
6+ Goals
8%
18.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.75 — our 33% vs market 29.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
18%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
23%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
19%
+9.3pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.5pp
45%
Away Win
56%
-10.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
54%
+5.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
46%
-5.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
45%
-2.7pp
58%
BTTS No
55%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Fayha EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Al-Qadsiah EU Bookmakers 60%
+6% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.10/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/1.00
-35% / +112% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +52%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
252 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 76%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.4
15.2 Crosses 20.3
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Fayha
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Al-Qadsiah
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
1.07 xG 1.53
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
255 Passes 365
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
10 Box Touches 21
12 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
07.11.2024 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah 2-0 HT 2-0 Al Fayha Al Fayha SUUD
02.02.2019 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah 2-0 HT 0-0 Al Fayha Al Fayha SUUD
28.09.2018 Al Fayha Al Fayha 4-2 HT 1-1 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah SUUD
04.02.2018 Al Fayha Al Fayha 2-0 HT 2-0 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah SUUD
19.10.2017 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Fayha Al Fayha SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Fayha
2-1
AWAY Al-Qadsiah
0.75 xG 2.27
37% Ball Possession 63%
7 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 12
271 Passes 487
77% Pass Accuracy 85%
11 Box Touches 31
5 Crosses 41
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Al Fayha vs Al-Qadsiah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Fayha edged past Al-Qadsiah 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Al-Qadsiah at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Fayha had 37% of the ball to Al-Qadsiah's 63%, shots finished 7-19, expected goals 0.75 to 2.27 — on chances, Al-Qadsiah could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Al Fayha and 1.40 for Al-Qadsiah.

What was the final score of Al Fayha vs Al-Qadsiah?

Al Fayha 2-1 Al-Qadsiah in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Fayha vs Al-Qadsiah?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al-Qadsiah win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Al Fayha 28%, draw 26%, Al-Qadsiah 45%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al-Qadsiah) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SUUD More Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League
12 Apr 2025
18:35 Al Khaleej vs Al Fateh Analysis →
21:00 Al Nassr vs Al Riyadh Analysis →