Boston United 1-2 Spennymoor Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.92
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
26%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.21
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.66
6+ Goals
9%
15.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.21 — our 28% vs market 25.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
48%
+1.4pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.7pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-0.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.4pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boston United EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Spennymoor Town EU Bookmakers 30%
-1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -13%
1.98/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/2.19
+18% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -31%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
365 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boston United
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Spennymoor Town
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.11.2023 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Boston United Boston United İCON
07.03.2023 Boston United Boston United 1-2 HT 0-1 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town İCON
06.12.2022 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town 3-2 HT 0-1 Boston United Boston United İCON
22.01.2022 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town 1-1 HT 1-1 Boston United Boston United İCON
14.08.2021 Boston United Boston United 1-2 HT 0-0 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town İCON
12.11.2019 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town 2-1 HT 1-1 Boston United Boston United İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boston United
1-2
AWAY Spennymoor Town
63% Ball Possession 37%
15 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Boston United vs Spennymoor Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spennymoor Town edged past Boston United 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Boston United at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Boston United had 63% of the ball to Spennymoor Town's 37%, shots finished 15-4.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Spennymoor Town led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Boston United and 1.67 for Spennymoor Town.

What was the final score of Boston United vs Spennymoor Town?

Boston United 1-2 Spennymoor Town in the England - Conference on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boston United vs Spennymoor Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Boston United win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Boston United 49%, draw 25%, Spennymoor Town 25%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Boston United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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