Dover Athletic 0-1 Maidstone United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.65
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
50%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.95
Over 2.5
42%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
1.82
No
63%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
35%
3.53
2-3 Goals
37%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
3.39
6+ Goals
8%
12.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.53 — our 35% vs market 23.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
30%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
19%
+7.2pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.4pp
50%
Away Win
58%
-7.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
48%
+10.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
52%
-10.8pp
37%
BTTS Yes
51%
-14.2pp
63%
BTTS No
49%
+14.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dover Athletic EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Maidstone United EU Bookmakers 62%
-22% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
0.53/1.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.32/1.14
-58% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / -12%
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
261 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dover Athletic
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Maidstone United
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 20
6 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 3
14.11.2023 Maidstone United Maidstone United 1-0 HT 1-0 Dover Athletic Dover Athletic İCON
01.01.2019 Maidstone United Maidstone United 0-1 HT 0-0 Dover Athletic Dover Athletic İBSL
26.12.2018 Dover Athletic Dover Athletic 3-1 HT 0-1 Maidstone United Maidstone United İBSL
01.01.2018 Maidstone United Maidstone United 2-2 HT 0-1 Dover Athletic Dover Athletic İBSL
26.12.2017 Dover Athletic Dover Athletic 2-2 HT 0-2 Maidstone United Maidstone United İBSL
01.01.2017 Maidstone United Maidstone United 1-4 HT 0-1 Dover Athletic Dover Athletic İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dover Athletic
0-1
AWAY Maidstone United
42% Ball Possession 58%
3 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dover Athletic vs Maidstone United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maidstone United nicked a narrow win over Dover Athletic 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Maidstone United as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (63%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Dover Athletic had 42% of the ball to Maidstone United's 58%, shots finished 3-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dover Athletic had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Dover Athletic and 1.17 for Maidstone United.

What was the final score of Dover Athletic vs Maidstone United?

Dover Athletic 0-1 Maidstone United in the England - Conference on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dover Athletic vs Maidstone United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Maidstone United win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Dover Athletic 26%, draw 24%, Maidstone United 50%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maidstone United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Maidstone United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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