Welling United 2-2 Braintree Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 2 Mar 2024

Welling United
2-2 HT 2-2
Braintree Town
📅02/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - Conference – 2023/2024

Welling United vs Braintree Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
36%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.8
Over 2.5
44%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.08
2-3 Goals
44%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.8
6+ Goals
9%
16.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.08 — our 27% vs market 26.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+1.2pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.5pp
36%
Away Win
40%
-3.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.8pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Welling United v Braintree Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Welling United EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Braintree Town EU Bookmakers 43%
-9% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -8%
1.21/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.48
-10% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -12%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
282 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 70%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.1

Welling United vs Braintree Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Welling United
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Braintree Town
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
14.11.2023 Braintree Town Braintree Town 4-1 HT 3-0 Welling United Welling United İCON
21.02.2023 Welling United Welling United 0-2 HT 0-1 Braintree Town Braintree Town İCON
25.10.2022 Braintree Town Braintree Town 4-1 HT 2-1 Welling United Welling United İCON
25.01.2022 Braintree Town Braintree Town 2-2 HT 1-0 Welling United Welling United İCON
16.10.2021 Welling United Welling United 1-0 HT 1-0 Braintree Town Braintree Town İCON
08.12.2020 Braintree Town Braintree Town 1-1 HT 0-0 Welling United Welling United İCON
POST-MATCH Welling United vs Braintree Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Welling United and Braintree Town shared the points in a 2-2 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 29% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Braintree Town led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Welling United and 2.17 for Braintree Town.

What was the final score of Welling United vs Braintree Town?

Welling United 2-2 Braintree Town in the England - Conference on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Welling United vs Braintree Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Braintree Town win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Welling United 35%, draw 29%, Braintree Town 36%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Braintree Town), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Braintree Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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