Farnborough 1-3 Yeovil — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.84
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
38%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.67
Over 2.5
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.7
2-3 Goals
36%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.33
6+ Goals
8%
21.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+3.0pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.5pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-2.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.4pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Farnborough EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Yeovil EU Bookmakers 45%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.04/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.84/1.53
-21% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -15%
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
355 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Farnborough
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Yeovil
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 2
14.11.2023 Yeovil Yeovil 4-2 HT 2-1 Farnborough Farnborough İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Farnborough
1-3
AWAY Yeovil
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 0
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Farnborough vs Yeovil
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yeovil saw off Farnborough 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (35% / 27% / 38%) promised a tight game; Yeovil found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Farnborough had 54% of the ball to Yeovil's 46%, shots finished 18-9.

What was the final score of Farnborough vs Yeovil?

Farnborough 1-3 Yeovil in the England - Conference on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Farnborough vs Yeovil?

Before kick-off our model rated an Yeovil win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Farnborough 35%, draw 27%, Yeovil 38%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yeovil) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Yeovil) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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